Current polling has Labour with an increased party vote share from 2014. With that usually comes a few more electorate wins but which ones will change hands and more importantly which will have an impact on the make-up of parliament? Much is made of swing-states or swing seats in the US and UK, the US election generally hinges on a few states such as Florida that determine the outcome of the election as the other states are reliably red or blue. New Zealand, being under MMP, has proportional representation so electorates do not tend to have a significant impact on the overall makeup of parliament apart from their ability to bring in parties polling below 5%, especially when they can ‘coat-tail’ more MP’s in with them. Possible Swings to Labour Auckland Central If Jacinda Arden had have stayed in Auckland Central (in 2014 she only lost by 600 and it traditionally vote
What does it all mean? I don't know but I'm still going to tell you.